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2022 NBA Mock Drafts

  • # Team Player Pos
    1 Chet HolmgrenGonzaga, Fr C
    Will Jabari Smith, Chet Holmgren or Paolo Banchero get selected with No. 1 pick in the 2022 NBA Draft?

    Concerns about Holmgren's long-term durability will linger well into his NBA career because of his 7-foot, 195-pound frame, but nevertheless, his game is too big to pass on. Holmgren is an elite defender, great floor spacer and has guard skills to boot. If you're picking at No. 1 you want to take the biggest possible swing, and Holmgren is absolutely that in this class. If he hits, he's going to be a star.

    2 Paolo BancheroDuke, Fr PF
    Will Jabari Smith, Chet Holmgren or Paolo Banchero get selected with No. 1 pick in the 2022 NBA Draft?

    Banchero is coming off an impressive NCAA Tournament run with Duke where he showcased his scoring polish and proved his passing and playmaking is a real asset to his NBA prospects. After growing up as a guard and sprouting to 6-10, his appeal lies in his offensive versatility as a scoring forward who can make good passing reads to boot.

    3 Jabari SmithAuburn, Fr PF
    Will Jabari Smith, Chet Holmgren or Paolo Banchero get selected with No. 1 pick in the 2022 NBA Draft?

    Smith went out with a whimper in the NCAA Tournament -- he finished 3 of 16 from the floor in Auburn's second-round loss to Miami -- but he remains locked in as a top-four talent in this class. Smith's an incredible shooter for his size and a very good defender who has as high a ceiling as anyone in this class.

    4 Shaedon SharpeKentucky, Fr SG

    Sharpe is the mystery man primed to upend this year's draft. The former No. 1 overall recruit reclassified to the 2021 class, enrolled at the midyear point at Kentucky and played exactly zero minutes. But he's primed to be a potential top five pick -- maybe higher -- because of his elite scoring instincts, creation and size at the guard position. I have OKC taking the gamble on him at No. 4 in hopes of grooming him to be a long-term piece of its core next to Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Josh Giddey.

    5 Jaden IveyPurdue, Soph SG

    We've had Ivey at No. 1 on our Big Board since January, but we're self-aware enough to know that's far from consensus in NBA circles. He's an explosive athlete who can pressure the rim at will, he improved his outside shot and he's added a stepback jumper to his arsenal, all translatable to the NBA. He needs to improve his decision-making and his defense to really threaten for the top pick, which right now seem like big enough questions to keep him at No. 5 in our projections.

    2020-21 College Stats

    MPG PPG RPG APG FG%
    24.2 11.1 3.3 1.9 39.9
    6 Keegan MurrayIowa, Soph PF

    Keegan Murray was so, so good to end the season for Iowa. Just how good, you ask? He set a Big Ten Tournament record with 103 points in leading the Hawkeyes to four wins in four days and capturing the league's crown. That good. His scoring threat from anywhere on the court coupled with his defensive chops around the paint could easily put him at No. 6 in this draft given his easily translatable all-around skill set.

    2020-21 College Stats

    MPG PPG RPG APG FG%
    17.8 7.2 5.1 0.5 50.6
    7 TyTy Washington Jr.Kentucky, Fr PG

    There's a number of factors here working against Washington's NBA prospects that include playing more off the ball at Kentucky and a nagging injury that hurt his production down the stretch run of the season. However, in the grand scheme, he has a strong case as a top-10 talent in this class, hence the high placement here in my projections. Has a ton of untapped potential operating as a lead guard which we only saw in spurts at UK, and his time spent playing off the ball as a scorer should only help his prospects of becoming a solid combo guard in the league.

    8 Jeremy SochanBaylor, Fr PF

    The raw stats don't do justice to the impact Sochan made at Baylor and can potentially make in the NBA. He's a combo forward who can defend multiple positions, plays wing, power forward and center, and has playmaking ability to boot. Heck, Baylor at times ran its offense through him. With so many NBA teams looking for the next Draymond Green, Sochan -- and I'm not saying he IS the next Green -- profiles closest to him among prospects in this class.

    9 AJ GriffinDuke, Fr SF

    At Duke, Griffin took a backseat frequently to Wendell Moore and fellow one-and-done talent Banchero. He was inconsistent, which was not unexpected after starting the year injured. Nonetheless, the flashes of stardom he showed in spurts should easily get him into the lottery. Great 3-point shooter, strong frame and positionally can fit into just about any roster with his defensive potential, shooting and creation.

    10 Ochai AgbajiKansas, Sr SG

    A year ago, Agbaji tested the draft waters and ultimately came back to school in a quest to improve his stock. Well, mission accomplished. As a senior with KU this season he shot above 40% from 3-point range, embraced his role as the team's alpha scorer and -- oh, by the way -- led the Jayhawks to a national title. His NBA-ready body, defensive intensity and outside shooting scream NBA role player.

    2020-21 College Stats

    MPG PPG RPG APG FG%
    33.5 14.2 3.7 1.9 42.2
    11 Johnny DavisWisconsin, Soph SF

    A late-season ankle injury suffered just before the Big Ten Tournament hurt Davis' production and momentum in what could've been a national welcome to his game on the NCAA Tournament stage. But prior to that, Davis was the No. 1 option on a just-OK Wisconsin team that he led to a No. 3 seed. His defense is immediately translatable to the NBA as is his scoring chops from the mid-range in, though his 3-point accuracy could use some slight improvement. After shooting 39% from 3 as a freshman in a smaller role I expect it will not be a problem for him in a system with NBA spacing where he's not consistently the No. 1 option on opponents' scouting report.

    2020-21 College Stats

    MPG PPG RPG APG FG%
    24.4 7 4.1 1.1 44.1
    12 Bennedict MathurinArizona, Soph SG

    A strong close to the season for Mathurin -- highlighted by a 30-point explosion in the NCAA Tournament vs. TCU -- showcased just how good a talent he is. He's a dynamic offensive weapon who can knock down outside shots at a high level and isn't just a one-trick pony as a two-guard. Really like his ability to make things happen with the ball in his hands and he's a smart off-ball player as a cutter as well.

    2020-21 College Stats

    MPG PPG RPG APG FG%
    25 10.8 4.8 1.2 47.1
    13 Jalen DurenMemphis, Fr C

    Charlotte has waited patiently -- perhaps too patiently -- in addressing the center spot. No more. Here, they grab a high-flying star in Duren who can defend the rim, run the floor and score it efficiently inside the arc. His lob-finishing ability makes him a perfect fit next to LaMelo Ball.

    14 Ousmane DiengFrance SF

    There's always a surprise or two in the first round of the draft (usually the Suns!), and Dieng profiles as one of the more likely candidates to crash into the lottery. This 6-9 forward playing big minutes and making strides in the NBL with the Breakers, and at 18 years old, he has big potential as a jumbo forward because of his length and scoring ability.

    15 Mark WilliamsDuke, Soph C

    Another big man for Charlotte? Another big man for Charlotte! Williams would be a nice complement to Duren as a more traditional big who blocks shots, rebounds and runs the floor, while Duren could be the flash and pizazz prospect who defends the paint but can also play above the rim. Think they could work in tandem together nicely, and they could give the Hornets a major, necessary upgrade in the frontcourt.

    2020-21 College Stats

    MPG PPG RPG APG FG%
    15.1 7.1 4.5 0.7 66.4
    16 Tari EasonLSU, Soph PF

    Eason, a big combo forward who can space the floor as a shooter, open up the offense as a straight-line driver and really impact the game on defense as a do-it-all weapon is a tricky one to pin down here. He's raw and his offense isn't quite NBA-ready but the physical tools and defense alone could get him into the teens of this draft on potential.

    2020-21 College Stats

    MPG PPG RPG APG FG%
    19.5 7.3 5.9 1.3 46.2
    17 Dyson DanielsG League Ignite SG

    Daniels has a chance to be the first G League Ignite talent taken in this year's NBA Draft after a strong one-and-done season with the program where he shot nearly 35% from 3-point range and showcased himself as a do-it-all guard. Teams should find his ability to put the ball on the floor and create most impressive, and his defensive intensity and rebounding stick out to me on tape. Still some rough edges but has the skill, feel and frame to be a safe pick, especially in this range.

    18 Jean MonteroOvertime Elite SG

    Probably the best long-term prospect involved with the Overtime Elite league this season. Montero plays lead guard with pizazz and his playmaking pops as both a creator and shooter. He loves attacking downhill and has the know-how to pull up on a dime. Montero needs to improve his overall arsenal on offense, particularly as a scorer and shooter -- his free-throw and 3-point shooting numbers are dreadful -- but I'd be willing to bet on that developing here at 18.

    19 Jaden HardyG League Ignite SG

    We may have overshot expectations with Hardy. Entering the season he was top-five for me, but there's still a lot to like here. Yes, he's been pretty inefficient, and yes, his decision-making as a playmaker probably needs fine-tuning, but he was very productive for G League Ignite and remains a very gifted scorer and creator with room to develop. Keep in mind he won't turn 20 until later this summer.

    20 MarJon BeauchampG League Ignite SF

    The oldest of the G League Ignite blue-chip talents, Beauchamp this season at 20 years old rode a strong season into first-round territory. Great size, very athletic, just needs to improve the shot. It's encouraging his prowess as a scorer has at least been proven at a high level after averaging more than 30 points per game a year ago for Yakima Valley College, but the NBA is a different animal entirely. Like that he has some potential in many areas, don't love that he's not a star in any one area, so he feels like more of a risky bet than others available in this range.

    21 Kendall BrownBaylor, Fr SF

    We never got the full-blown freshman breakout from Brown in the same way we did from teammate Jeremy Sochan, but Brown's absolutely going to be in the mix as a potential lottery pick this summer. Brown has a big frame, defends the wing like crazy and can stretch the floor as a shooter as well.

    22 Patrick Baldwin Jr.Milwaukee, Fr PF

    It was something of a lost season for Baldwin Jr., the former No. 1 overall prospect in his recruiting class. He played in only 11 games and missed most of the last month of the season because of a bout with COVID and an injury. Additionally, he didn't overwhelm in the Horizon League, where he shot 26.6% from 3-point range and 41.8% from the floor. His stock is really hard to pin down. Ultimately, though, a team will love his potential and past pedigree, so I can't see him dropping out of the first 30 picks.

    23 Blake WesleyNotre Dame, Fr SG

    Wesley's primary appeal out of Notre Dame is his scoring ability from the guard spot and his mature frame. He's adept at getting to his spots, creating with the ball in his hands and getting to the line by pressuring the rim. His efficiency took a hit down the stretch, and he's still plenty raw as a prospect, but there's a lot to like here for someone who just turned 19.

    24 Kennedy ChandlerTennessee, Fr PG

    Chandler is the smallest of any prospect in the Top 60 of our rankings, so that stands out as a potential concern projecting him into the NBA. But if anyone can overcome that, it's him. Chandler's a lightning-quick talent who can blow by defenders and knows how to masterfully manipulate defenses with the rock in his hands.

    25 Harrison IngramStanford, Fr SF

    A long wing with raw potential, Ingram may have played his way into going one-and-done despite a lackluster finish to his freshman season at Stanford. He flashed some real potential as a big wing who could space the floor, defend and even create.

    26 Malaki BranhamOhio St., Fr SF

    Ohio State turned to Branham as one of its go-to options down the stretch run of the season. He responded by averaging 17.3 points and 3.8 rebounds per game in the second half of the year. Branham is a big wing who can torch the net and scores it at a really high level.

    27 E.J. LiddellOhio St., Jr PF

    Liddell doesn't quite fit into a traditional bucket as a prospect -- he's a tad undersized for a big -- but it's hard to ignore his production. He's a gifted scorer who finds ways to produce and he ranked among the top five of all Big Ten players in blocks and scoring. His improved outside shot and rebounding tenacity should help him stick in the league.

    2020-21 College Stats

    MPG PPG RPG APG FG%
    29.3 16.2 6.7 1.8 47.4
    28 Nikola JovicSerbia SF

    Jovic remains one of this draft's most unique prospects because of the blend of his size, shooting and creating. He's a really good passer and Mega has used him at times as its primary initiator, something you rarely see from a player that tall, which speaks to his vision on the whole. The point forward potential is probably not realistic at the NBA level but, like Josh Giddey in last year's draft, vision and creation ability regardless of level have a tendency to translate up. He's a connector, and a really good one at that.

    29 Trevor KeelsDuke, Fr SG

    On a loaded Duke team, Keels had a habit of disappearing for large stretches and blending in. But he had a few standout showings as well, including a 19-point outing in Duke's Final Four loss to North Carolina where he dropped in two big triples. With a mature frame and bulldog mentality on defense he has role-playing potential, which I'd expect Memphis would be happy to jump on at 29.

    30 Walker KesslerAuburn, Soph C

    Kessler finished first among all college players in blocked shots per game and first in block rate. He was genuinely a nightmare defender for opponents in and around the paint. He was also very efficient as a scorer, ranking top-20 nationally in effective field goal percentage. Kessler is a big man who knows his role and plays it very well.

    2020-21 College Stats

    MPG PPG RPG APG FG%
    8.8 4.4 3.2 0.3 57.8
  • # Team Player Pos
    1 Chet HolmgrenGonzaga, Fr C
    Will Jabari Smith, Chet Holmgren or Paolo Banchero get selected with No. 1 pick in the 2022 NBA Draft?

    I understand the concerns about Holmgren's slight frame — but he's such a unique talent that I'd be uncomfortable passing on a 7-foot legitimate rim-protector who can also bounce it like a guard and reliably make 3-pointers. I was somewhat skeptical before his one year with the Zags but saw enough in 32 games to become a believer.

    2 Paolo BancheroDuke, Fr PF
    Will Jabari Smith, Chet Holmgren or Paolo Banchero get selected with No. 1 pick in the 2022 NBA Draft?

    Banchero is probably the safest option at the top of this draft. He's a big, strong and skilled forward who could be the key to quickly returning the Magic to a place of relevance.

    3 Jabari SmithAuburn, Fr PF
    Will Jabari Smith, Chet Holmgren or Paolo Banchero get selected with No. 1 pick in the 2022 NBA Draft?

    Smith still needs to develop in lots of ways because at this point he's mostly just a 6-10 shooter on the offensive end of the court. But he's such a great shooter for a player his size, and a great athlete and competitor in general, that there's no reason to seriously doubt the idea that he could create an incredible duo with Cade Cunningham in Detroit.

    4 Jaden IveyPurdue, Soph SG

    Ivey is an explosive athlete who plays big and is capable of attacking the rim in a variety of ways. As the Thunder continue to add interesting young pieces, the former Purdue star would be a great option at this point in the draft.

    2020-21 College Stats

    MPG PPG RPG APG FG%
    24.2 11.1 3.3 1.9 39.9
    5 Keegan MurrayIowa, Soph PF

    Murray is a switchable big who can guard in space and consistently make shots from the perimeter. What he does, at his size, is perfectly suited for the modern NBA and would fit well with an Indiana franchise that needs to add talent in the frontcourt.

    2020-21 College Stats

    MPG PPG RPG APG FG%
    17.8 7.2 5.1 0.5 50.6
    6 Shaedon SharpeKentucky, Fr SG

    Even though he enrolled in January and was eligible to compete, Sharpe never played at Kentucky in part because the people around him wanted to protect his status as a projected top-10 pick. Unless he really bombs in workouts, it's hard to imagine the explosive athlete going much lower than this considering he's a gifted scorer with the physical tools to be a disruptive defender on the wing.

    7 Ochai AgbajiKansas, Sr SG

    I'm higher on Agbaji than most simply because I don't understand what's not to like about a 6-5 athlete who is a plus-defender on the wing and excellent 3-point shooter. Once you get past the top-tier prospects in this draft, the Kansas star makes as much sense as anybody.

    2020-21 College Stats

    MPG PPG RPG APG FG%
    33.5 14.2 3.7 1.9 42.2
    8 Johnny DavisWisconsin, Soph SF

    Davis went from a mostly anonymous power-conference player to a candidate for national player of the year in his sophomore season at Wisconsin. A late-season ankle injury limited the 6-5 guard down the stretch, but he showed enough before that to justify his status as a projected lottery pick.

    2020-21 College Stats

    MPG PPG RPG APG FG%
    24.4 7 4.1 1.1 44.1
    9 Jalen DurenMemphis, Fr C

    Duren isn't really the modern-big franchises prefer these days, but he's such a physical specimen and great athlete that there's probably a place for him in the top 10 of this draft. At worst, he should be a terrific rim-running and rim-protecting center who alters shots and dunks everything.

    10 Bennedict MathurinArizona, Soph SG

    Mathurin was the star of Arizona's team that won the Pac-12 and earned a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament. The 6-6 wing is an impressive athlete and above-average shooter who could lighten the scoring load on Bradley Beal in Washington.

    2020-21 College Stats

    MPG PPG RPG APG FG%
    25 10.8 4.8 1.2 47.1
    11 AJ GriffinDuke, Fr SF

    It took Griffin a little while to get comfortable at Duke because of a preseason knee injury that seemed to affect his ability to show his athleticism. But the wing eventually showed glimpses of why he's a lottery talent, mostly by proving to be a fantastic 3-point shooter who made 44.7% of his 4.1 attempts from beyond the arc per game.

    12 Jeremy SochanBaylor, Fr PF

    Sochan is the rare sub-100 high school recruit who could be a one-and-done lottery pick. His ability to guard multiple positions in multiple ways is among the reasons he's a tantalizing prospect who is one of the most versatile players available in this draft.

    13 Mark WilliamsDuke, Soph C

    Williams, like fellow projected lottery pick Duren, is more of a traditional big than a modern big. But any franchise in need of a rim-protector and lob-catcher — like Charlotte — would have to consider him at this point in the draft.

    2020-21 College Stats

    MPG PPG RPG APG FG%
    15.1 7.1 4.5 0.7 66.4
    14 Malaki BranhamOhio St., Fr SF

    Branham is a shooting guard with good size and great length who really flourished in the second half of the season. While shooting 41.6% from the 3-point line, the one-and-done standout became the Big Ten's Freshman of the year and a legitimate lottery option for his best on line casino-state franchise.

    15 Tari EasonLSU, Soph PF

    Eason was a breakout star at LSU after transferring following a so-so first season at Cincinnati. He's a versatile frontcourt option — i.e., somebody very different than the player I have projected to Charlotte with the 13th pick — who can guard multiple positions and punish defenses in transition opportunities.

    2020-21 College Stats

    MPG PPG RPG APG FG%
    19.5 7.3 5.9 1.3 46.2
    16 Ousmane DiengFrance SF

    Dieng is a long and skilled prospect who still needs to develop but is worth a serious look anywhere outside of the lottery. He might not contribute immediately but definitely projects as an interesting long-term investment with undeniable potential.

    17 Dyson DanielsG League Ignite SG

    Daniels isn't quite the prospect previous Ignite stars have been but is still a fascinating guard with size who can play with or without the ball. His jumper, at this point, is the biggest area of concern.

    18 Walker KesslerAuburn, Soph C

    Kessler was arguably the best defensive player in college basketball this season while averaging 4.6 blocks per game. He's an incredible rim-protector with the potential to develop into a comfortable perimeter shooter.

    2020-21 College Stats

    MPG PPG RPG APG FG%
    8.8 4.4 3.2 0.3 57.8
    19 TyTy Washington Jr.Kentucky, Fr PG

    Washington mostly played off the ball in his one season at Kentucky but projects as a lead guard in the NBA. Ankle injuries limited him in the second half of the season but the one-and-done Wildcat showed enough before he was hampered to solidify his status as a top-20 pick.

    20 Jaden HardyG League Ignite SG

    Hardy didn't do much over the past year to help his draft stock — but he's still an obvious first-round talent capable of developing into a special player. Being drafted by a franchise like San Antonio would probably be the best thing for the trajectory of his career.

    21 Kendall BrownBaylor, Fr SF

    Brown never really became more than a role player in his one season at Baylor, which is notable. But the 6-8 wing still has the physical tools to make him worthy of a first-round pick.

    22 Kennedy ChandlerTennessee, Fr PG

    The possibility of Tyus Jones leaving via free agency might have Memphis in the market for a point guard. At this point in the draft, the best option would be Chandler — the Memphis-raised product who has won at every level and already has a close relationship with Grizzlies' star Ja Morant.

    23 E.J. LiddellOhio St., Jr PF

    Liddell is the type of player who could help Brooklyn's core of Kevin Durant, Kyrie Irving and Ben Simmons theoretically compete for a title next season. He's undersized but undeniably effective.

    2020-21 College Stats

    MPG PPG RPG APG FG%
    29.3 16.2 6.7 1.8 47.4
    24 Wendell Moore Jr.Duke, Jr SF

    Moore shot above 40% from 3-point range in his final season at Duke. The bet here is that his jumper is a translatable skill, which would be valuable in a place like Milwaukee, where chasing championships is the goal for the foreseeable future.

    2020-21 College Stats

    MPG PPG RPG APG FG%
    27.6 9.7 4.8 2.7 41.7
    25 Christian BraunKansas, Jr SG

    Braun is a wing with size who can guard his position, reliably make jumpers and finish in transition. He's the type of prospect who could flourish in the culture San Antonio has established.

    2020-21 College Stats

    MPG PPG RPG APG FG%
    31.1 9.7 5.2 1.9 38.0
    26 JD DavisonAlabama, Fr PG

    Jalen Brunson's pending free agency could lead to a departure from Dallas, which might have the Mavericks targeting a point guard with this pick. If so, Davison, a big-dunking one-and-done athlete, would be a reasonable option.

    27 Blake WesleyNotre Dame, Fr SG

    Adding a young athlete to the backcourt wouldn't be the worst idea for a Miami franchise that just recorded the best record in the Eastern Conference. Wesley is exactly and would be a steal at the bottom of the first round if his jumper becomes more consistent.

    28 Christian KolokoArizona, Jr C

    With James Wiseman's potential unclear, the Warriors could target a center with their lone first-round pick. Koloko is the reigning Pac-12 Defensive Player of the Year with better mobility than most bigs his size.

    2020-21 College Stats

    MPG PPG RPG APG FG%
    17.3 5.3 4.8 0.3 52.0
    29 Patrick Baldwin Jr.Milwaukee, Fr PF

    Baldwin was a projected top-10 pick before he more or less disappeared for a year after choosing to play for his father at Milwaukee. The Grizzlies could afford to take a big swing here and see if they hit on another pick late in the first round.

    30 Nikola JovicSerbia SF

    Oklahoma City remains very much in rebuild mode with a young core of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort and Josh Giddey. Adding an 18-year-old international prospect like Jovic to the plans could be a nice long-term move.

  • # Team Player Pos
    1 Paolo BancheroDuke, Fr PF
    Will Jabari Smith, Chet Holmgren or Paolo Banchero get selected with No. 1 pick in the 2022 NBA Draft?

    Banchero is the safest bet in the upper range of the lottery this year because of his NBA-ready frame and the fact that he can already score at all three levels. Banchero's potential to defend all positions and exceptional ball skills also set him apart in this draft class. The versatile forward averaged 3.8 assists per game over the season's final two months. Some of the other contenders for the No. 1 spot arguably have a higher ceiling, but Banchero's floor is as a solid all-around NBA starter which makes him a low-risk selection for a team that hasn't totally fallen in love with someone else at the No. 1 slot.

    2 Jabari SmithAuburn, Fr PF
    Will Jabari Smith, Chet Holmgren or Paolo Banchero get selected with No. 1 pick in the 2022 NBA Draft?

    A 6-10 player who is an elite outside shooter is incredibly rare in college basketball, where traditional bigs abound some teams deploy two classic post players in the same lineup. Smith's uniqueness helped him stand out in that environment, as he was protected in some ways by an elite true center in teammate Walker Kessler. Smith's one already elite skill — outside shooting — will be defended more competently at the next level, which will force Smith to tighten his handle and hone his shot-creation acumen. Defensively, opponents will test the theory that he can guard 1-5 by trying to exploit his slender frame on the block while testing his quickness on the outside.

    3 Keegan MurrayIowa, Soph PF

    Murray will be 22 when the 2022-23 NBA season begins, while Jabari Smith and Paolo Banchero will be just 19. Perhaps that's a turn off for some franchises wanting to mold a player to their specifications. But if you throw out age and just look at the game, there is a chance that Murray could be the first player from this draft class to make an NBA All-Star game. He's coming from a program that hasn't produced a first round draft pick since 1998, and considering the quantum leap he made as a sophomore, it's tantalizing to consider what additional elements of Murray's game can be unlocked by an NBA staff. He's well-equipped to guard all positions and is an offensive maestro who is especially effective in transition.

    2020-21 College Stats

    MPG PPG RPG APG FG%
    17.8 7.2 5.1 0.5 50.6
    4 Chet HolmgrenGonzaga, Fr C
    Will Jabari Smith, Chet Holmgren or Paolo Banchero get selected with No. 1 pick in the 2022 NBA Draft?

    If concerns over Holmgren's physicality and ability to handle the rigors of the NBA with a lanky 7-foot frame wind up pushing him out of the conversation to be the No. 1 pick, then he'll be an unbelievable value in this range. Two of Holmgren's comps — Jaren Jackson Jr. and Kristaps Porzingis — were also picked fourth. They're both stars, but they both also dealt with serious knee injuries before age 24. Being a do-it-all 7-footer who logs 70+ games year in and year out is physically taxing.

    5 Jaden IveyPurdue, Soph SG

    The way Ivey gets downhill and finishes in the paint and at the rim with a combination of athleticism and touch is reminiscent of Ja Morant. While Ivey lacks Morant's distribution skills and is more of a shooting guard, the upshot is that he has the potential to be a better defender. That potential didn't manifest itself in college, but if an NBA team can unlock Ivey's defensive capabilities, they may find themselves with an All-Star.

    2020-21 College Stats

    MPG PPG RPG APG FG%
    24.2 11.1 3.3 1.9 39.9
    6 Shaedon SharpeKentucky, Fr SG

    Sharpe has no college film to evaluate enrolling at Kentucky in for the spring semester but not suiting up. He's billed as an athletic shooting guard with the explosiveness to create shots and finish at the rim, and he wound up as the No. 3 ranked prospect in the 2021 recruiting class. That slotting put him ahead of players like Jabari Smith, Jalen Duren and AJ Griffin. It's hard to see a prospect with those credentials slipping much further in this draft.

    7 Ochai AgbajiKansas, Sr SG

    Depending on where he lands, Agbaji could make an NBA team better immediately as a plug and play 3-and-D wing. That may also be his ceiling, but the development he showed from his junior to senior season showcase Agbaji's relentless work ethic and make you wonder what more untapped potential may be there.

    2020-21 College Stats

    MPG PPG RPG APG FG%
    33.5 14.2 3.7 1.9 42.2
    8 AJ GriffinDuke, Fr SF

    If Cam Johnson can get drafted 11th overall at 23 years old and become a key player for one of the NBA's best teams, then Griffin can absolutely go in the top 10. At 6-6, he's a couple inches shorter than Johnson but brings the same elite skill as a knockdown 3-point shooter. Griffin will be just 19 when the season begins and could be a high-level 3-and-D wing by his third season in the league.

    9 Tari EasonLSU, Soph PF

    Eason enjoyed a breakout sophomore season after transferring to LSU from Cincinnati. He can score at all three levels and is a high-upside, versatile defender. His college coaches employed him as a sixth man, and it wouldn't be surprising to see Eason cast in the same role at the next level. At 6-8, he's like a perimeter-oriented Montrezl Harrell in terms of motor, grit and the type of role he may play.

    2020-21 College Stats

    MPG PPG RPG APG FG%
    19.5 7.3 5.9 1.3 46.2
    10 Jeremy SochanBaylor, Fr PF

    Sochan is a nimble power forward who is comfortable shooting from the outside and guarding players at any position. Assuming he improves on the 29.6% 3-point mark he posted in one season at Baylor, Sochan should play in the league for a long time.

    11 Bennedict MathurinArizona, Soph SG

    Mathurin's length and ability to rise up to get a look late in the shot clock should serve him well at the next level. The jury is out on his defensive ceiling, but he has the tools and talent to become a solid two-way player over time.

    2020-21 College Stats

    MPG PPG RPG APG FG%
    25 10.8 4.8 1.2 47.1
    12 Johnny DavisWisconsin, Soph SF

    His 30.6% 3-point shooting mark as a sophomore might spook some scouts, but Davis basically ran the show for a Wisconsin team not exactly known for having a modern offensive philosophy. In the right system, Davis will shine as a two-way talent because of his defensive tenacity bucket-getting prowess. Over time, he'll need to trade some of his mid-range attempts for 3-point shots if he wants to fit in the modern NBA as an off-ball guard.

    2020-21 College Stats

    MPG PPG RPG APG FG%
    24.4 7 4.1 1.1 44.1
    13 TyTy Washington Jr.Kentucky, Fr PG

    Washington can play on or off the ball and is an intense defender, though at 6-foot-3 he may be too small to contest the shots of taller NBA wings. Nonetheless, he's a versatile guard with the doggedness and intangibles to find a role in the league.

    14 Kendall BrownBaylor, Fr SF

    Brown was an elite role player in his lone season at Baylor as he showed excellent offensive efficiency as a secondary option. His athleticism and defensive versatility should help him carve out a long — though perhaps not All-Star caliber — NBA career.

    15 Dyson DanielsG League Ignite SG

    Daniels served as the primary facilitator for G-League Ignite, averaging 4.4 assists per game in his 14 appearances with the program. His outside shot is a work in progress, but for a franchise with the leash to develop a raw playmaker, Daniels is worth taking a flyer on.

    16 Mark WilliamsDuke, Soph C

    The market for centers who don't shoot 3-pointers is lean in today's NBA. Williams is good enough as a shot blocker, rebounder and finisher to find a role, though. The 7-footer can bruise with anyone and is also active enough to hold his own in pick-and-roll situations.

    2020-21 College Stats

    MPG PPG RPG APG FG%
    15.1 7.1 4.5 0.7 66.4
    17 Nikola JovicSerbia SF

    Of the international prospects in this class, Jovic seems like the safest bet. He's already adept at scoring from all three levels and shows signs of the defensive competency you'd hope for with an offensively gifted 6-10 forward.

    18 E.J. LiddellOhio St., Jr PF

    Liddell is like a slightly more athletic version of third-year Celtics forward Grant Williams, who is playing a big role for Boston in the NBA Playoffs after he was taken with the No. 22 pick in 2019. He's got a stocky build reminiscent of a traditional post player but can shoot 3-pointers and is agile enough to hold his own as a versatile weapon in the NBA.

    2020-21 College Stats

    MPG PPG RPG APG FG%
    29.3 16.2 6.7 1.8 47.4
    19 Jean MonteroOvertime Elite SG

    Montero, who has been playing for Overtime Elite, looks the part of a future starting NBA point guard offensively with his ability to distribute the basketball and high-level handle. He put those traits on display in a Nike Hoop Summit exhibition vs. some of college basketball's top incoming freshmen. The questions here are whether his offense is good enough to outweigh some potential defensive limitations that come with being 6-2 and slender.

    20 Ousmane DiengFrance SF